Scotland House Conference Center, Brussels, 25.-26.09.2017
Land-use and land-cover change are key processes through which humans affect the functioning of the Earth system, contributing to global climate and environmental changes and with impacts on human well-being. Nearly 80% of the land surface are affected one way or another by human activities, 40% of the land area managed as croplands and pastures. In the wake of the Paris agreement, issues of land use are becoming central for achieving a <2°C warming world. What is now a source of greenhouse gases will need to be rapidly transformed into a sink, and maintained that way.
The neglected nonlocal biogeophysical effects of deforestation
Johannes Winckler (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany)
Biophysical and bio-geochemical effects of large-scale land cover changes
Devaraju Narayanappa (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement LSCE, Centre national de la recherche scientifique CNRS, France)
A tool to evaluate local biophysical effects on temperature due to land cover change transitions
Luca Caporaso (CMCC Fundation, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change CMCC, Viterbo, Italy)
Bioenergy crops modelling in ORCHIDEE
Wei Li (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement LSCE, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, France)
The effects of land use change on the local surface energy balance: a global assessment from remote sensing, uncoupled and coupled climate models
Gregory Duveiller (European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy)
Land use scenarios for climate stabilization with a high climate sensitivity model
Kaoru Tachiiri (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Japan)
A new historical land use data set for the Holocene: HYDE 3.2
Kees Klein Goldewijk (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
Using NASA Remote Sensing Data to Reduce Uncertainty of Land-use Transitions in Global Carbon-Climate Models
Louise Parsons Chini (University of Maryland, USA)
13:00 - 14:00 Lunch
Quantifying the global carbon sink in secondary forest
Thomas Pugh (University of Birmingham, United Kingdom / Karlsruhe Institute of Technology KIT, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research IMK-IFU, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany)
Land use change and net carbon sink
Philippe Ciais (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement LSCE, CNRS, France)
Deconstructing the Net Land Use Flux: What can we learn about carbon sinks on managed lands?
Lena Shevliakova (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, visiting scientist at Princeton University, USA)
Investigating the biogeochemical effects of land management in the Community Earth System Model
Peter Lawrence (NCAR, Boulder, USA)
Recognizing scaling challenges in estimating global carbon fluxes from land-use and land-cover change
Benjamin Poulter (NASA GSFC, USA)
Losses and inefficiencies in the global food system, and how to reduce them
Peter Alexander (University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom)
Land-based mitigation options beyond afforestation and bioenergy: the case of conservation agriculture
Reinhard Prestele (Environmental Geography Group, Department of Earth Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands)
Multi-objective adaptation in a 1.5 degree world – can European landuse deliver everything?
Ian Holman (Cranfield University, United Kingdom)
Modelling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the IMAGE-LPJmL integrated assessment model
Maarten Braakhekke (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
Afforestation for climate change mitigation – exploring potentials and trade-offs in deep mitigation scenarios
Jonathan Doelman (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
Future land-use and -management projections under population growth and climate change using a coupled ecosystem & land use model framework
Sam Rabin (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology KIT, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research IMK-IFU, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany)
t.b.a.
N.N.
Marc Gramberger, Prospex (moderator)
Almut Arneth, Coordinator, LUC4C
Jean-Francois Hulot, Head of Unit, Strategy, Climate Action and Resource Efficiency, European Commission - DG RTD
Gregor Erbach, Policy Analyst, EPRS, European Parliament
Philippe Ciais, IPCC
N.N., Member State Representative
Moderated by Marc Gramberger, Prospex
Almut Arneth
Mark Rounsevell, Lead Work package “policy options”, LUC4C
Discussion between policy (panel) and science (audience)
Moderated by Marc Gramberger, Prospex
Almut Arneth